Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and his expected Democratic Party challenger and extremely awkward Beto O’Rourke are apparently in a tie an entire year before they might potentially meet in a gubernatorial race according to a brand new poll put out by the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation.
The poll reveals that Abbott, a Republican, only leads O’Rourke 44 percent to 43 percent among individuals who voted in last year’s election. Ten percent of those who participated in the survey stated they aren’t sure which candidate of the two they would vote for, while 3 percent stated they would throw support behind minor party candidates.
O’Rourke, a former Democratic Congressman, has not issued a formal announcement concerning intent to run for governor, but he’s widely expected to do just that.
Other results from the survey include:
Among Hispanic respondents, 49% favor O’Rourke and 31% back Abbott.
Hispanics who are evangelical Protestants are more likely to vote for Abbott (42%) than O’Rourke (37%), while Catholic Hispanics and non-religious Hispanics overwhelmingly favor O’Rourke (56% and 46%) over Abbott (29% and 28%).
Abbott has an overwhelming lead in the Republican primary race, with the two-term governor ahead of his next-closest rival, former state GOP Chairman Allen West, by a margin of 64% to 13%.
“Gov. Abbott has shored up his right flank and stands firmly on solid ground with Republican primary voters,” TxHPF Chairman and CEO Jason Villalba went on to say. “But based on our data, it appears that he has achieved this objective by cutting deeply into his support with Texans who vote in the general election.”
Villalba then said that “much can happen over the course of the year, but these numbers show that not only can we expect a competitive general election, but that Abbott’s shift to the hard right may have imperiled his governorship.”
The poll was conducted between Oct.14-27 with 1,402 individuals interviewed online. The margin of error for this poll is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.